BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Michigan St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 37 Overall: (2-1) Overall Strength = 163.00
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (0-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (2-1)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-04-2026 Home W * 164.15 30 20 1A 65 (2-1) Toledo 2.29 -0.75 7.71
2 09-12-2026 Home W * 149.72 35 7 1A 134 (1-3) Eastern Michigan -12.14 * 11.74 40.14
3 09-19-2026 Away L * 171.70 10 27 1A 2 (3-0) Notre Dame 9.84 * -20.57 -26.84
4 09/26/2026 Home * * 1A 40 (3-0) Nebraska 4.20
5 10/03/2026 Away * * 1A 46 (2-1) Wisconsin 0.62
6 10/10/2026 Home * * 1A 55 (2-1) Illinois 7.85
7 10/17/2026 Home * * 1A 26 (2-0) Northwestern -0.11
8 10/24/2026 Away * * 1A 21 (3-0) UCLA -7.01
9 11/07/2026 Away * * 1A 28 (3-0) Michigan -4.97
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1A 100 (3-0) Washington 27.47
11 11/20/2026 Home * * 1A 43 (2-1) Oregon 5.15
12 11/28/2026 Away * * 1A 133 (0-3) Rutgers 37.75
Averages 161.86 25.0 18.0
Best game: 171.70 = 17 point loss to Notre Dame
Worst game: 149.72 = 28 point win over Eastern Michigan
Team stdev: 11.17